Back again and this time I'm looking at a less interesting division for 2013. The AFC South I think is largely set in stone as far as who's winning the whole thing. So let's take a look at how this division is looking this year.
The Houston Texans are winning this division with little question. Even with injuries, this team is still packed to the gills with talent. I think the offense explains itself. Two great running backs, a good QB and one of the 2 best receivers in the league. When healthy, this team can score enough points to anyone. Now, the defense is where this team really shines. J.J. Watt had an insane season last year. Think about this, Watt could regress a bit from last year and he would still be an elite defender. The biggest issue this team has is pass defense. I don't thinking adding Ed Reed to the mix is going to fix that. I think their secondary is where you have to beat this team. But as I've said with other divisions, this team might have some issues but I don't see anyone rising up and taking the crown from the Texas. I'll go 12-4 for the Texans.
The Indianapolis Colts had an improbable season in 2012. They finished 11-5 which took everyone by surprise. I expect to see reality to set in this season. Let's look at the numbers here. They had the 26th rated defense last year. They had one of the worst run defenses in the league. They tried to address this by signing a metric crap load of free agents in the offseason. The problem with this is most of the guys they signed aren't that good. Paying a lot of money to the likes of Eric Walden, Lawrence Sidbury and Ricky Jean Francois. They shelled out some big money for a couple of those guys and none of those guys are massive game changers in their own right. I think this whole team falls back a little bit and misses the playoffs. I think you're looking at a team that wins 7-9 games this season.
What can you say about the Tennessee Titans? Well, they have a QB that struggles with accuracy. No one that he can throw to other than Kenny Britt, an inconsistent running back, a so-so offensive line and a defense that's just not very good. This is a talent poor team and I don't know how they're going to win that many games. Reports are saying that Jake Locker isn't looking very good in training camp. That's not the end of the world of anything but it's not a good start. I think you're looking at a team that wins 3-4 games next year.
Last and probably least the Jacksonville Jaguars. I think there's a decent change that you could see Chad Henne as the starting QB this year. If he continues looking better in preseason I think that's a possibility. The team still has MJD and that's worth a few wins if he can remain healthy. Justin Blackmon has been a bust thus far and he's suspended for the first 4 games of the season. The defense isn't even worth talking about here, they just outright suck and I don't think they did anything to change that. A healthy MJD will get this team to 5-11 though.
The Texans can win the division each year all they want, but until they actually make some noise in the playoffs they are still looking up at the colts history(not present mind you) as the standard for AFC South Elite teams. Now don't get me wrong, I'd love to see the Texans win a Super Bowl as they would be a new team, I'm just not sold on them being a playoff team like they have been a regular season team. That was Peyton Manning's thing for quite a while. Lots of regular season success but nothing in the playoffs. I think it all depends on Schaub. Can he do it in the playoffs?
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